Trade Flow Opportunity Engine
Sourcing teams receive a ranked brief on import opportunities, with supporting public trade evidence. Candidates that pass the data and mathematical gates are debated by a hundred agents, each arguing from a defined perspective, with the outcome recorded beside the ranking.
- DomainInternational trade and sourcing
- EngagementInternal research engine
- StageFull-scale run completed, operated in house
Public trade evidence in one sourcing brief
Trade statistics are published openly by several international bodies, and they go largely unused for sourcing decisions because each source has its own format, its own latest reporting month and its own units. The engine brings them together and ranks under-served import categories into a brief a sourcing team can act on.
Operated in house for sourcing research, the engine produces a ranked brief and a machine-readable companion file, and its method is documented in every brief it produces.
Sourcing decisions made before the evidence is checked
The information needed to choose an import or export category is public. What is missing is a process that turns it into a decision.
Categories chosen on market talk
A category is selected because it is reported to be moving. Suppliers are contacted first and the disqualifying facts arrive later, after time and money have been committed.
The deciding factors checked last
Sourcing teams need the relevant market conditions and restrictions beside each candidate before they commit time or money.
Open data nobody reconciles
Each statistical source publishes in its own format, to its own latest month, in its own units. Reconciling them by hand for every candidate category is not repeatable at the scale a sourcing team needs.
An engine that ranks, deliberates, and explains its ranking
A sourcing team gets one ranked brief that has already checked the disqualifiers, been argued over from a hundred perspectives, and shows its own arithmetic.
Public statistics a team can finally use
Trade statistics, development indicators and the datasets the methods need are reconciled once, so a sourcing team stops reconciling formats, months and units by hand. When a source is missing the brief says insufficient data, never a number nothing supports.
- The brief identifies any source that was unavailable
- Every run records which sources landed and which did not
- Re-running an analysis does not start from nothing
Evidence for a sourcing decision
The brief applies published economic methods, tested before use, and shows the evidence behind each candidate.
- Import categories supported by public evidence
- Relevant market conditions beside each candidate
- The reasons for inclusion available for review
The deciding facts checked first
Known local production, tariffs and regulation are considered before a category is recommended, and the brief shows the evidence behind each recommendation.
- Candidates presented for the sourcing team's assessment
- Known restrictions weigh on every candidate
- Supporting evidence beside each recommendation
A hundred agents debate the candidates that pass the gates
Once the data and mathematical gates have passed, the surviving products and raw materials go to a structured debate among a hundred agents, each with its own defined perspective: buyers, producers, logistics, regulators, financiers and market specialists. They argue for and against importing or exporting each candidate, and the outcome of the debate is recorded beside the quantitative ranking.
- A hundred agents, each arguing from a defined role and perspective
- Runs only on candidates that have passed the data and mathematical gates
- The positions taken and the outcome recorded beside the ranking
A brief that shows its own calculation
The output is a ranked, sector-by-sector brief with a machine-readable companion file, closing with an account of how each number was produced.
- Regulatory context carried beside the ranking, because a gap in a regulated category is a different opportunity
- A closing section explaining how each number was produced
- Recommendations presented for the sourcing team's assessment
What the engine produces
A ranked sourcing brief with evidence beside each candidate.
Gated
Ranking correctness
Known restrictions are considered before a category is recommended, so the brief presents evidence for further sourcing review.
Explained
Auditable output
Every brief ends with an account of its method, so a reader can challenge a rank on its method.
Deliberated
Beyond the numbers
Every candidate that passes the gates has been argued over from a hundred perspectives before it reaches the brief, and the record of that debate travels with the ranking.
Talk to us about a sourcing decision
If the numbers that should drive a decision are already public and nobody has the time to reconcile them, tell us what the decision is.
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